Arsenal have a great squad: but is Arsene any good at rotation?

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In an ideal world, we would not have two, very promising, young goalkeepers, but at least one experienced stopper; and we would also have a beast of an experienced, classical DM in our squad. But other than that, Arsenal have great strength in depth throughout the team.

Last night, I was having a good look at our squad and gave some thoughts to what would happen once, if ever, the entire squad is fully fit and ready to play. I divided the squad into: ‘most likely first team starters’ and ‘second string team’, and when finished I wondered whether I would put my house on the first team easily beating the second string team, assuming they are all fully fit and motivated.

First Team:                 Second Team:

Szczesny                      Mannone

Sagna                           Jenkinson

Mertesacker              Djourou

Vermaelen                 Koscielny

Gibbs                            Santos

Arteta                          Coquelin

Diaby                            Ramsey

Santi                              Jack

Podolski                       Rosicky

Gervinho                     Arshavin

Giroud                          Theo

I based the first team on a mixture of recent selection choices for key games and quality of the player (experience, recent successful performances, etc). A fully fit Jack might be first choice instead of a fully fit Diaby, but I reckon it is very close at the moment.

Would you put your house on the above mentioned first team beating the second team, say four times out of five? I would not.

I reckon Arteta is a lot stronger than Coquelin, as the former lacks the enormous experience of the Spaniard, and a fully fit Diaby is ahead of Ramsey, no doubt. Mertesacker is a better CB than JD and Podolski a better goal scorer than Rosicky, but a team is more than the sum of its parts, and if both teams would be given one month to train together and than play five games against each other over the space of two weeks; would the first team outperform the second team with ease every time? I think not.

Or let me put it differently, if we would take the second team to Norwich on Saturday, would you really be worried we would not be able to win the game?

There is great strength of depth in our team, which is just fantastic for us. The key thing is, though, to use it properly. Rotation of players is a real art. We all know the saying: ‘don’t change a winning team’ and managers are often reluctant to rotate players, even when the risk of fatigue and subsequent injury is looming dangerously.

I reckon we played Mertesacker in too many games before he got injured. His body and mind were used to a long winter-break in December and January, but Arsenal kept playing him and it is quite well possible that this led to him damaging his ligaments in early February. Arteta and Van Persie are other examples of not being rotated enough. Miraculously, we got away with not resting the traitorous Dutchman, but we were not so lucky with our anchor in midfield, which could have cost us dearly. There are more examples of players being played in too many games in succession, and the only way to avoid the strong possibility of long term injuries to key players is by rotating our squad wisely.

I am a huge fan of Arsene, but I believe he is not very good at rotation. I don’t think he does it enough, and we often seem to suffer disproportionately if and when Arsene is forced, or even chooses, to rotate. Yet, I feel strongly he needs to rotate more this season: not four, five players at a time, but one or two at every game: subtle, well-prepared for changes, designed to keep players out of the ‘red zone’.

If we don’t do it, there is a strong possibility we will get into the final period of the season – the one in which silverware is being won or lost – with either too many fatigued, or long-term injured players. By using the width of our squad appropriately we can keep the entire squad as fit as possible, leaving us with options throughout the season and a better possibility to bring home silverware in May.

Total Arsenal.

Arsenal – Chelsea: Three Selection Headaches for Arsene

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Hey Arsene, how many selection headaches are you facing on Saturday?

We always knew the start to the season was a tough one. Away games to Stoke, Liverpool and ManCity are not to be pooh-poohed at, and it will all come to an early seasonal crescendo on Saturday, when we play the current leaders, Chelsea, at the home of football.

Before the start of the season, I wrote a post for ArsenalArsenal.wordpress.com in which I stated that the tough start to the season was actually good for us: it would help us to focus, and to hit the ground running from the first match day.

Given the circumstances of having to integrate a Frenchman, Spaniard and a German into this season’s team, and having to learn to live without the services of the traitorous Dutchman, Arsenal has done really well until now. We remain unbeaten, have only conceded two goals, and the atmosphere and believe in our club has, thank goodness, transformed during this relatively short period.

However, a win in the next game against Chelsea, the last match in a fabulous September for Arsenal, could really catapult us towards the top. This will not be easy though, and we have to be careful not to underestimate the challenge we face on Saturday.

It remains to be seen what sort of Chelsea we will face at Ashburton Grove. Will it be last season’s park the bus formation/strategy or will Chelsea come to us with the full intention to have a go at us. The latter would be welcome, as it would provide us with a lot of space to attack them, if and when we regain possession. The former would be okay too, as compared to last season, Arsenal has more players who have the ability to deal with ‘parked buses’ now.

I reckon Chelsea will aim to attack Arsenal and we will have to face up to three creative/ attacking midfielders, with just Torres alone up-front and two holding midfielders behind them. This will be a big challenge for our midfield, our ‘back-five’, as well as our ability to defend as a team.

So, assuming Chelsea will come to play football on Saturday, Arsene has to make a decision about three selection challenges: each one of them a headache, or a so called ‘luxury problem’, as we are lucky to have a lot of fully fit players in various positions at the moment.

Selection Headache One: which two CB’s from TV, Koz and Mertesacker?

This must be causing Arsene a headache at the moment. TV is our captain and has had ten days rest, Mertesacker is playing his best football since joining Arsenal, and Koz had a tremendous second half against Citeh and is freshest of them all. I really don’t know who he will choose, but if I have to make a guess: Koz will end up on the bench again.

Selection Headache Two: Giroud to start or back to a fluent/interchanging three up-front: Podolski, Gervinho and either The Ox or Theo?

If Arsene opts for a typical 4-3-3 formation, I expect us to start with Giroud in the middle, and Podolski and Gervinho on the wings. This seems to be our plan-A this season and we can always change to plan-B (Gervinho-Podolski-Theo/The Ox) if we need to.

Selection Headache Three: four or three in midfield?

The inclusion of Ramsey in our ‘4-3-3’ against Citeh – which was effectively more like a 4-4-2 most of the times – was a great tactical move by Arsene last weekend. Chelsea play not that dissimilar to Citeh and my guess is Aaron will get another start ahead of Theo or the Ox. Ramsey played very well and, especially in the latter part of the second half, his drive and incredible engine made a big difference.

Selection headaches two and three are obviously interlinked and my gut feeling is that, in order to deal with Chelsea’s creative strength in midfield, we will start with Plan-B on Saturday.

So, based on the above deliberations, I reckon our starting 11 on Saturday will be:

Mannone – Jenkinson – Mertesacker – Vermaelen – Gibbs – Ramsey – Cazorla – Arteta – Diaby – Gervinho – Podolski.

Total Arsenal.